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I think the 3500 kcal is a guideline for long term fat loss. Obviously in the short term, there are more complex systems interchanging calories but over time, 3500kcal will result in fat loss. The assumptions are, whatever you are doing right now, you arent gaining weight and you are gradually creating the 3500 kcal deficit over a week to 2 weeks so that you dont shock your system. Also, you should maintain a weightlifting protocol so that you do not lose too much muscle.
I think if you do all of the above things, then over the course of 6 months 3500kcal*4weeks*6 months really woudl result in near 24 lbs. of fat loss. I think this also assumes you do not have super low bodyfat to start with. Certainly, you cant drop below 4% and as you get near 4% it is going to be harder and harder to drop fat because your body will want to grab it more so the complex short term exchange of calories becomes more important and strict eating becomes important.
As far as the 2500kcal for 1 lb of muscle, I have never heard of that.
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