Please explain why you think college enrollment would drop if you thing usage wouldn't increase. I'm not questioning it...yet... I just want clarification.
Here is what I was thinking, and I might be stretching too. It was kind of a spur of the moment thought process. And my "usage wouldn't increase" was a very bad explainion of what i was thinking.
1) There would be roughly a 2-4% increase in new users, not a lot at all, but I would say 90% of these new users would be between 16-22 years old. This would contribute to about .5-1% fewer college admissions I figure, maybe less. As most of these kids wouldn’t have gone to college anyway.
2) But keep in mind I think use among those who already use, repeat customers, is going to go up anywhere from 10-40%
3) These new business are going to make a ton of money, and everyone and there brother under 25 years old is going to start up a pop/snort/shoot stand. I’m thinking McDonalds, BK & Taco Hell, but also the corner mom-and-pop diner, and even on a “sausage guy at the football game” size operational scale. Outside of the offices of the big conglomerates, there isn’t going to be much education needed to run these operations. Your payroll is going to consist of more “street” peddlers and “security” rather than accountants and logistic specialists. Don’t forget about packagers, runners, and processing lines…
4) The influx of available “unskilled” (by this I mean not needing a college education to complete) positions will contribute to about a 5-10% drop in enrollment.
Through all my time in College I saw many people there for the piece of paper, not actually learning anything. I think a lot of those people would gravitate towards the new pool of available unskilled labor. But even a 5% drop in admissions would make a difference.
I might be completely wrong here… But that is what I was thinking.